image_pdfimage_print

Bias and Pterosaur Sighting Credibility

Survey Sent to Biology Faculty Members

I recently started sending out a survey to biology professors in universities in the United States. Part of the purpose relates to investigating bias in favor of the pterosaur-extinction axiom. The following is part of that survey, three questions:

1) Before receiving this survey, did you know of the word “ropen” in relation to a reported flying creature? (Y/N)

2) Before receiving this survey, did you know anything about any expedition or research in Papua New Guinea, related to the idea that at least one species of extant pterosaur might live there? (Y/N)

3) How would you rate your belief in the possibility of one or more species of extant pterosaur living in Papua New Guinea? You may use a number, 0-100, to rate your belief in relation to these examples: 0 = sure all species of pterosaurs are extinct 100 = sure at least one species is still living

You may reply to any or all three of the above questions in your own words, if you choose. You may also answer less than all three of them.

As of early February 2, 2013, about 5% have responded. Significant details should be available before the end of February.

.

From the Book Live Pterosaurs in Australia and in Papua New Guinea

Cryptozoology is not a branch of science, at least not in the usual sense; but it can motivate zoologists to conduct field investigations, at least in theory it can motivate them. It is the “study of hidden animals,” and usually relies less on direct scientific examination and more on eyewitness testimony . . .

The American missionary Thomas Savage, in the 1800’s in Africa, obtained some bones of what we now call a “Western Gorilla,” which prepared for its eventual scientific acknowledgement. Whatever led that missionary to obtain those bones can be called “cryptozoological,” especially if he had been following eyewitness accounts. . . .

Most of the twenty-first century modern-pterosaur expeditions [in the southwest Pacific] have resulted in at least one sighting of at least one distant flying light. We call it by its name on Umboi Island: “ropen.” We believe it is a Rhamphorhynchoid pterosaur and that it has intrinsic bioluminescence.

Most explorers [in Papua New Guinea] have interviewed one or more native eyewitnesses who had dramatic encounters with flying creatures described like pterosaurs: creature sightings much more revealing than distant lights. A few natives have seen, at night or in twilight, such a flying creature as it was glowing. This appears to verify native traditions that the lights come from flying creatures. . . . [Natives have no bias against living creatures described like pterosaurs.]

. . . Some eyewitnesses [those in Western countries like the United States] fear discovering . . . personal insanity. Others fear not insanity itself but the opinions of anyone who might think them insane. Others fear . . . that some of what they had been taught about science was false; they prefer to believe that scientific proclamations must always be true [bias against the possibility of an extant pterosaur]. How grateful I am for those who, in spite of their fears, report to me their encounters!

.

Pterosaur Sightings and Statistics

Since the two ropen expeditions of 2004 (on Umboi Island, Papua New Guinea), a few biologists and non-biologists have written about . . . pterosaur sightings . . . very few. But many of those writings have been dismissive . . .

Pterosaur Sighting in Georgia

Flying creatures observed in the state of Georgia, according to the reports I have received from eyewitnesses, resemble apparent pterosaurs of other states and indeed of other countries.

Eskin Kuhn – Sighting of two Pterosaurs

Eskin C. Kuhn watched the two “pterodactyls” fly over part of the Guantanamo Bay military installation (Cuba) in 1971, in clear daylight and at “close range.” Within a few minutes, he began sketching what he had seen.

.

Objective Investigations of Pterosaurs

The live pterosaur investigations have sometimes been criticized, at least by a few critics, as if they lacked objectivity. Well, we’re all human; why not evaluate interviews and eyewitness reports themselves, especially those that are more credible or emphasized as important by the investigators? Avoid bulverism, look to the testimonies.

At the risk of self-approbation, please excuse these examples; I have written more about living pterosaurs than any other writer, so examples are easier to find with my own writings. Consider these and decide for yourself about whether or not I have a special problem with being objective, in particular if my desire to promote the idea of living pterosaurs overshadows reasonable thinking.

Frigate Bird

When one or two Youtube videos of a Frigate Bird became popular (as if evidence for a living pterosaur), I was in the front of objecting to the error. I commented on Youtube and wrote blog pages about those videos. When what looks like a Frigate Bird is seen soaring near a beach in daylight, well, that’s a Frigate Bird.

Strange Thing in a Landscape Photograph

When a new young investigator showed me a photo with something in the sky, I pointed out to the young man that the person taking the photo had noticed nothing unusual when the photo was taken. I felt no hesitancy in deflating that idea of a pterosaur photo, for the image itself does not look like what should be expected of a flying pterosaur.

Sleeping at the Wheel

In the first edition of my book Live Pterosaurs in America (repeated in the second edition, which should be published within the next few weeks), I brought up actual examples of dreams that two persons had after they fell asleep while driving: a giant bat about to collide with the car, in one dream; a herd of dinosaurs crossing the road, in another dream. I know both dreamers; each told me, from their own mouths, of their dreams.

As far as I know, I am the first writer to bring up this possible criticism of literal interpretations of eyewitness encounters with living pterosaurs. I believe it to be potentially one of the stongest possible objections to eyewitness accounts. Yet few of my critics, as far as I am aware (as of late October, 2010) have mentioned this possibility to explain sightings.

So why do I continue to proclaim the validity of eyewitness sightings of living pterosaurs, in the face of this apparent severe criticism? That requires an aside; I’ll be brief. Shocking dreams of strange things like giant bats or dinosaurs, dreams that wake the dreamer—those dreams seem to be contrived especially to awaken the dreamer who is driving (self-preservation through the intelligence of the unconscious mind). The real shock is in awakening to realize one is driving. But those sightings in which a large flying creature, without feathers, flys in front of the windshield of someone’s car (and the drivers later report to me)—those sightings have a notable absence of awakening. And when two eyewitnesses have seen a living pterosaur, it is not because both of the have dreamed the same thing at the same time. Enough said on that.

The point is this: Am I devoid of objectiveness, when I have written like that on those subjects? I don’t think so.